{"id":4512,"date":"2013-06-23T11:41:40","date_gmt":"2013-06-23T10:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.iese.edu\/antonioargandona\/?p=4512"},"modified":"2013-06-27T07:36:14","modified_gmt":"2013-06-27T06:36:14","slug":"una-crisis-que-son-cuatro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.iese.edu\/antonioargandona\/2013\/06\/23\/una-crisis-que-son-cuatro\/","title":{"rendered":"Una crisis que son cuatro"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Daba el otro d\u00eda clase a unos alumnos del Executive MBA del IESE, y les explicaba c\u00f3mo veo yo la <strong>crisis<\/strong> actual de la <strong>econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola<\/strong>. Y les dec\u00eda que no es una crisis, sino cuatro:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>El pinchazo de una<strong> burbuja especulativa<\/strong>, que ha dejado a la econom\u00eda familiar y empresarial endeudada, empobrecida, vulnerable y en reconstrucci\u00f3n. Esto bastaba para ponernos en una <strong>recesi\u00f3n<\/strong> al menos tan grave como la de 1992-93. Pero hay m\u00e1s.<\/li>\n<li>Una <strong>crisis financiera<\/strong>, iniciada por los problemas de las <em>subprime<\/em> norteamericanas, pero que adquiri\u00f3 pronto caracteres propios, por los problemas de nuestros <strong>bancos<\/strong> y <strong>cajas de ahorro<\/strong>, problemas que son de dos tipos: de <strong>liquidez<\/strong> (por la interrupci\u00f3n de la financiaci\u00f3n exterior hacia esas instituciones) y de <strong>solvencia<\/strong> (por la p\u00e9rdida de valor de sus activos,\u00a0debida a\u00a0la crisis del inmobiliario, al aumento de la morosidad y a\u00a0la retroalimentaci\u00f3n de la crisis desde la econom\u00eda real a la financiera).<\/li>\n<li>Una <strong>crisis de la deuda soberana<\/strong>. Porque ante las dos crisis anteriores todos miramos hacia el <strong>Estado<\/strong>, del que esperamos que alivie las crisis personales, familiares y empresariales, y tambi\u00e9n las de los bancos. Y esta crisis tiene tambi\u00e9n las dos facetas mencionadas: una crisis de <strong>liquidez<\/strong> (que dificulta la <strong>refinanciaci\u00f3n<\/strong> de la deuda p\u00fablica y la financiaci\u00f3n de los d\u00e9ficit nuevos) y otra de <strong>solvencia<\/strong> (por las dudas sobre la <strong>sostenibilidad<\/strong> de la deuda en Espa\u00f1a).<\/li>\n<li>Y, al llegar a este punto, todos miramos a los que pueden solucionar esos problemas, que son las autoridades de la <strong>Uni\u00f3n Europea<\/strong> y del <strong>Banco Central Europeo<\/strong>. Lo que presenciamos en 2011 y 2012 fue el estallido de esa cuarta crisis, la <strong>crisis del euro<\/strong>, debida a la falta de claridad de diagn\u00f3stico y de respuesta, pero sobre todo de voluntad pol\u00edtica, por parte de aquellas autoridades.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Daba el otro d\u00eda clase a unos alumnos del Executive MBA del IESE, y les explicaba c\u00f3mo veo yo la crisis actual de la econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola. Y les dec\u00eda que no es una crisis, sino cuatro: El pinchazo de una burbuja especulativa, que ha dejado a la econom\u00eda familiar y empresarial endeudada, empobrecida, vulnerable y [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":172,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11722],"tags":[16364,61085,28177,12838],"class_list":["post-4512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia","tag-burbuja","tag-crisis-de-la-deuda-soberana","tag-crisis-del-euro","tag-crisis-financiera"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"La crisis que nos azota son en realidad cuatro: el estallido de la burbuja inmobiliaria, una crisis financiera, una crisis de la deuda soberana y la del euro.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Antonio Argando\u00f1a\"\/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.iese.edu\/antonioargandona\/2013\/06\/23\/una-crisis-que-son-cuatro\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Econom\u00eda y \u00c9tica - 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