Spain Nears Trade Equilibrium

Well, equilibrium is a bit exaggerated. In May, Spain’s trade balance accumulated over 12 months – my favorite way of looking at this data for seasonality – registered a deficit of about 20.5 billion euros, which is equal to roughly 2 percent of the GDP. The data improved by slightly more than 2 billion euros in April, due to an increase […]

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Will Cyprus exit?

Last week, Paul Krugman argued here that Cyprus must leave the euro. “The convenience and efficiency of a single currency is gone; meanwhile, the future for Cyprus on the euro is one of years of grinding deflation and catastrophic austerity. Is the hope of someday, somehow restoring the status quo ante enough to justify all of this?,” […]